Real Brasília vs América RN analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
31.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Brasília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2021 |
CAP
3 - 0
DOM
26%
24%
50%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
DOM
1 - 2
CEI
65%
19%
16%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2020 |
BRA
1 - 2
DOM
53%
23%
25%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2020 |
DOM
0 - 1
BRA
35%
24%
42%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2020 |
DOM
1 - 0
CAP
61%
20%
19%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
ARN
2 - 0
ASS
79%
14%
7%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
ARN
2 - 1
SAN
69%
18%
13%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2021 |
ARN
2 - 1
FEL
68%
18%
14%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2021 |
ARN
1 - 0
PAL
81%
13%
6%
|
47 | 27 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
ARN
1 - 1
FLO
56%
22%
22%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |