Dom Bosco vs Nova Mutum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
56.3%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dom Bosco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
URO
2 - 0
DBO
66%
21%
14%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2023 |
DBO
0 - 1
LUV
35%
26%
39%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
LUV
3 - 1
DBO
53%
24%
23%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
DBO
1 - 1
MIX
64%
21%
16%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
NME
3 - 0
DBO
58%
23%
19%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Nova Mutum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
NME
0 - 1
MIX
62%
22%
17%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2023 |
NOV
5 - 2
NME
50%
24%
26%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
URO
2 - 1
NME
29%
24%
47%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
NME
3 - 0
DBO
58%
23%
19%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2023 |
NME
4 - 2
LON
15%
23%
63%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | +1 |