Q. Europa League Segunda Ronda Final
Global 2-5
Domžale vs Split analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
17.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Domžale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 2
DOM
51%
23%
26%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
MAR
2 - 0
DOM
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2011 |
DOM
4 - 3
MAR
48%
23%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
DOM
3 - 0
OLI
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
GOR
2 - 1
DOM
55%
23%
22%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2011 |
DZG
1 - 1
SPL
70%
19%
11%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
SPL
1 - 0
HDR
63%
22%
16%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
SPL
3 - 2
ZAD
59%
23%
18%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
INT
0 - 2
SPL
51%
25%
24%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
SPL
1 - 0
HNS
43%
26%
32%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |