Q. Europa League Primera Ronda Final
Global 3-3
Domžale vs Siroki Brijeg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
20.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Domžale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2018 |
SIR
2 - 2
DOM
46%
25%
29%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2018 |
DOM
1 - 3
ZOR
41%
26%
32%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2018 |
STR
3 - 1
DOM
56%
24%
20%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2018 |
DOM
1 - 2
VAR
70%
18%
11%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
DOM
1 - 1
OLI
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Siroki Brijeg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2018 |
SIR
2 - 2
DOM
46%
25%
29%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2018 |
SIR
2 - 1
ZEL
48%
25%
27%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2018 |
GOS
0 - 0
SIR
24%
26%
50%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
RAD
3 - 3
SIR
40%
29%
32%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
SIR
3 - 1
ZEL
41%
28%
31%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |