Domžale vs Olimpija Ljubljana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
38.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
2
7º
10º
7º
18
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
18 | 67 |
1º
|
38.5% | |
|
2º
|
15 | 64 |
2º
|
28% | |
|
5º
|
13 | 59 |
3º
|
23.5% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 58 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 55 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
3º
|
15 | 52 |
6º
|
20% | |
|
|
10º
|
2 | 39 |
7º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 39 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 37 |
9º
|
29.5% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 27 |
10º
|
66.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 38.5% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0.5% | 22% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
2% | 30.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
70.5% | 8.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
22.5% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation
|
4.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Domžale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
RAD
1 - 0
DOM
37%
25%
38%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
DOM
1 - 2
NSM
48%
25%
27%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
MAR
4 - 1
DOM
53%
23%
24%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
DOM
3 - 1
GOR
64%
20%
17%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
RYV
0 - 3
DOM
54%
23%
24%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Olimpija Ljubljana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
OLI
3 - 0
SHF
47%
25%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
OLI
2 - 0
NKN
71%
19%
11%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
POL
1 - 2
OLI
45%
24%
31%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
FCK
0 - 1
OLI
42%
25%
33%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
OLI
2 - 0
POL
42%
26%
33%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |