Domžale vs NK Rogaška analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
22.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
3º
8º
6º
36
8º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
64 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Domžale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
BRA
1 - 3
DOM
43%
27%
30%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
DOM
3 - 5
NSM
48%
25%
26%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
DOM
2 - 0
ALU
59%
22%
19%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
RAD
2 - 0
DOM
42%
25%
33%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
MAR
3 - 0
DOM
59%
22%
19%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
NK Rogaška
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
ROG
2 - 3
OLI
27%
26%
48%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2024 |
TRI
2 - 3
ROG
26%
22%
51%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
ROG
2 - 0
BRA
37%
29%
35%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
ROG
0 - 0
NSM
37%
27%
36%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
ALU
0 - 1
ROG
44%
25%
31%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |