Domžale vs NS Mura analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
26.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
2
8º
10º
8º
16
2º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
18 | 66 |
1º
|
29% | |
|
1º
|
19 | 62 |
2º
|
23% | |
|
3º
|
17 | 62 |
3º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 59 |
4º
|
19% | |
|
|
5º
|
16 | 56 |
5º
|
23% | |
|
4º
|
16 | 54 |
6º
|
20.5% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 39 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
2 | 38 |
8º
|
25.5% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 36 |
9º
|
32.5% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 27 |
10º
|
62% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 9% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0.5% | 13% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
2.5% | 25.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
59% | 51.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
26.5% | 1% |
|
Relegation
|
11.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Domžale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
MAR
4 - 1
DOM
53%
23%
24%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
DOM
3 - 1
GOR
64%
20%
17%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
RYV
0 - 3
DOM
54%
23%
24%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
STR
0 - 3
DOM
60%
21%
19%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
DBU
4 - 3
DOM
37%
24%
39%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
NS Mura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
NSM
1 - 0
NKN
68%
20%
13%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2024 |
NSM
0 - 2
VAR
78%
15%
7%
|
72 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
NSM
0 - 0
ZOR
23%
23%
54%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
NSM
1 - 2
ROG
58%
23%
20%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
BRA
1 - 1
NSM
39%
28%
32%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |