Domžale vs Maribor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
42.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
3º
8º
6º
67
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
64 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Domžale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2023 |
NKD
0 - 1
DOM
12%
16%
72%
|
67 | 47 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
CEL
3 - 1
DOM
57%
24%
20%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
DOM
0 - 2
OLI
37%
25%
38%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
HAR
2 - 1
DOM
60%
21%
19%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
DOM
3 - 0
ROG
66%
20%
15%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Maribor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2023 |
MAR
9 - 0
NKJ
86%
10%
4%
|
74 | 15 | 59 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 1
ROG
77%
16%
8%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
BRA
2 - 1
MAR
24%
26%
50%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
MAR
3 - 1
NSM
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
ALU
1 - 0
MAR
21%
24%
55%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | -1 |