Domžale vs Celje analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
33.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
3º
8º
6º
79
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
64 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 100% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Domžale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
OLI
2 - 1
DOM
48%
25%
27%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
DOM
1 - 1
BRA
64%
22%
15%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
NSM
2 - 3
DOM
48%
25%
27%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2023 |
BAL
1 - 3
DOM
36%
24%
40%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2023 |
DOM
1 - 4
BAL
62%
20%
18%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Celje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2023 |
NEM
1 - 4
CEL
35%
27%
38%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
CEL
2 - 0
ROG
72%
19%
9%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2023 |
CEL
1 - 0
NEM
50%
24%
26%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
VIT
0 - 1
CEL
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
CEL
5 - 0
NSM
48%
26%
26%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |