Domžale vs Celje analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
22.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Domžale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2020 |
TAS
2 - 1
DOM
14%
21%
65%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
DOM
1 - 2
NSM
50%
24%
26%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
DOM
3 - 1
GOR
73%
17%
10%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
DOM
1 - 0
NKO
78%
15%
7%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2020 |
ZAG
1 - 0
DOM
14%
19%
66%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Celje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2020 |
CEL
2 - 2
BRA
66%
20%
14%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
CEL
2 - 0
ALU
46%
25%
29%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +2 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
CEL
3 - 0
OLI
28%
25%
47%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
CEL
2 - 0
SHA
60%
22%
18%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2020 |
YAR
0 - 2
CEL
29%
25%
46%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |