Domžale vs Celje analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
12.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Domžale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
TAS
2 - 1
DOM
12%
21%
67%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2019 |
MFF
3 - 2
DOM
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2019 |
DOM
2 - 2
MFF
37%
26%
37%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
OLI
4 - 2
DOM
54%
23%
23%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2019 |
DOM
1 - 0
BAL
69%
18%
12%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Celje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2019 |
CEL
2 - 2
BRA
55%
24%
21%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2019 |
CEL
0 - 0
ALU
49%
25%
26%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
TAS
1 - 0
CEL
30%
28%
42%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
CEL
2 - 2
NSM
38%
26%
36%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2019 |
CEL
1 - 2
KRS
37%
25%
38%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |