Domžale vs Celje analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
22.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Domžale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2011 |
RUD
6 - 0
DOM
53%
24%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
DOM
0 - 1
OLI
43%
26%
31%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
NKN
2 - 1
DOM
36%
27%
37%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
DOM
2 - 1
MUR
68%
19%
13%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
GOR
0 - 3
DOM
58%
23%
20%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Celje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2011 |
OLI
0 - 0
CEL
56%
23%
20%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
MUR
4 - 0
CEL
28%
27%
45%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | -2 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
CEL
2 - 3
MAR
42%
25%
33%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
TRI
0 - 1
CEL
31%
27%
42%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
CEL
7 - 0
NKI
62%
21%
17%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |