Domžale vs Celje analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
20.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Domžale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2011 |
SPL
3 - 1
DOM
42%
26%
32%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
RUD
0 - 2
DOM
45%
26%
30%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2011 |
DOM
1 - 2
SPL
62%
21%
17%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 2
DOM
51%
23%
26%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
MAR
2 - 0
DOM
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Celje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
OLI
0 - 3
CEL
60%
23%
17%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
CEL
2 - 3
NKP
64%
21%
15%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
FCK
1 - 0
CEL
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
NKN
0 - 0
CEL
42%
26%
32%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2011 |
CEL
0 - 0
MAR
40%
27%
33%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |