Dollingstown vs Armagh City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
15.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+65%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
2º
7º
7º
17
9º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 47 |
2º
|
78% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
78% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 39 |
4º
|
99% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 32 |
5º
|
80.5% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 28 |
6º
|
30.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
24 | 27 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 26 |
8º
|
41.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 23 |
9º
|
65.5% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
75% | |
|
|
11º
|
17 | 18 |
11º
|
88.5% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
21.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
78.5% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dollingstown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
BAN
1 - 4
DOL
34%
25%
41%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
DOL
0 - 2
GLE
16%
19%
65%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
DOL
2 - 1
BRF
49%
22%
29%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2022 |
DOL
5 - 1
POR
42%
24%
35%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
LIM
2 - 2
DOL
44%
24%
32%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Armagh City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
ARC
0 - 4
TOB
84%
11%
5%
|
45 | 22 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
BAN
3 - 1
ARC
62%
20%
18%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2022 |
ARC
2 - 1
LIM
37%
25%
38%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
NEY
6 - 1
ARC
56%
23%
21%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
ARC
0 - 2
DOL
38%
25%
37%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |