Dodoma vs Mtibwa Sugar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
24.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dodoma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
SIM
2 - 0
DJF
60%
22%
18%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
DJF
2 - 1
COA
44%
28%
28%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2023 |
RUV
0 - 1
DJF
30%
27%
43%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2023 |
NAM
0 - 1
DJF
51%
26%
23%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
YOU
4 - 2
DJF
55%
25%
20%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Mtibwa Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
MTI
1 - 1
COA
43%
27%
30%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2023 |
MTI
2 - 4
SIM
30%
29%
41%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2023 |
MTI
3 - 1
GGF
32%
28%
39%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2023 |
MTI
3 - 0
KAG
32%
29%
39%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +2 |
| 15 May. 2023 |
POL
3 - 1
MTI
40%
30%
30%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |