Europa League 1/32
Global 0-1
Dnipro Dnipropetrovsk vs Legia Warszawa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
20.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dnipro Dnipropetrovsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1986 |
WAR
0 - 0
DNI
54%
22%
24%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1985 |
HKS
2 - 0
DNI
74%
15%
11%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 1985 |
DNI
0 - 1
HKS
50%
24%
26%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1985 |
DNI
1 - 0
PSV
26%
24%
50%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 1985 |
PSV
2 - 2
DNI
86%
9%
4%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Legia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1986 |
WLO
1 - 1
WAR
52%
25%
23%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1986 |
WAR
1 - 0
OLI
62%
22%
16%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1986 |
WAR
0 - 0
DNI
54%
22%
24%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1986 |
GÓR
3 - 4
WAR
56%
24%
21%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 1986 |
WAR
1 - 1
ZAL
68%
19%
13%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |