Q. Europa League Final
Global 2-6
Dnipro Dnipropetrovsk vs Alaniya Vladikavkaz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
21.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dnipro Dnipropetrovsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 1997 |
ALA
2 - 1
DNI
51%
25%
24%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1997 |
KRY
0 - 2
DNI
20%
27%
53%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 1997 |
DNI
2 - 1
TAV
74%
16%
10%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 1997 |
PYE
0 - 2
DNI
29%
25%
46%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 1997 |
DNI
6 - 1
PYE
81%
12%
7%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1997 |
LOK
1 - 0
ALA
48%
26%
27%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1997 |
ALA
0 - 0
FCR
75%
16%
9%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1997 |
ALA
2 - 1
DNI
51%
25%
24%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1997 |
BAL
1 - 2
ALA
32%
27%
41%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1997 |
AVT
1 - 3
ALA
3%
13%
85%
|
81 | 12 | 69 | 0 |