Dnepr Rogachev vs Zhlobin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.3%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
1.2%
6-4
0.3%
7-5
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
1.7%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
2.6%
5-4
0.8%
6-5
0.2%
7-6
<0%
+1
15.8%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
0.7%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
4.5%
4-4
1.7%
5-5
0.4%
6-6
0.1%
0
18.4%
44.2%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
5.7%
3-4
2.9%
4-5
0.9%
5-6
0.2%
6-7
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
3.6%
3-5
1.5%
4-6
0.4%
5-7
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
1.9%
3-6
0.6%
4-7
0.1%
5-8
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.2%
4-8
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0.1%
4-9
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1496%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
6º
8º
7º
21
5º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 35 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 27 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 21 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
14 | 17 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 13 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dnepr Rogachev
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
FKS
0 - 11
ROG
69%
16%
16%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
ROG
1 - 5
FCL
11%
16%
74%
|
12 | 48 | 36 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
FKV
4 - 2
ROG
86%
9%
5%
|
12 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
ROG
1 - 1
IPU
28%
19%
53%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
MNP
3 - 0
ROG
89%
8%
4%
|
12 | 38 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Zhlobin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
ZHL
4 - 3
REC
26%
20%
55%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
ZHL
1 - 6
MNP
12%
15%
74%
|
15 | 40 | 25 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
FKS
1 - 3
ZHL
53%
19%
29%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
ZHL
0 - 5
FCL
11%
17%
72%
|
15 | 47 | 32 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
FKV
12 - 3
ZHL
83%
11%
6%
|
15 | 29 | 14 | 0 |