Dnepr Mogilev vs Vitebsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
45.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
8º
16º
16º
35
5º
15º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 64 |
1º
|
67% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 61 |
2º
|
51% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 55 |
3º
|
44.5% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 52 |
4º
|
43.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
35 | 46 |
5º
|
32.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 45 |
6º
|
26.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 44 |
7º
|
18.5% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 42 |
8º
|
19.5% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 40 |
9º
|
24% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 39 |
10º
|
21% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 39 |
11º
|
30% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 32 |
12º
|
56.5% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 27 |
13º
|
35.5% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 25 |
14º
|
31% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 25 |
15º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
12 | 20 |
16º
|
75% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 1% |
|
Mid-table
|
5% | 99% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
6.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
88.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dnepr Mogilev
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
DIN
6 - 1
DNP
54%
23%
23%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
TOR
4 - 2
DNP
56%
25%
19%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2024 |
DNP
0 - 1
GOM
29%
26%
44%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
NAF
2 - 1
DNP
29%
26%
46%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
DNP
1 - 1
MIN
48%
26%
25%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Vitebsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2024 |
VIT
0 - 1
TOR
39%
29%
32%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
GOM
0 - 0
VIT
46%
26%
29%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
VIT
2 - 0
NAF
59%
24%
18%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
MIN
1 - 2
VIT
26%
28%
46%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
VIT
0 - 1
FCS
63%
22%
15%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |