Dnepr Mogilev vs Slavia Mozyr analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
42.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
8º
16º
16º
28
1º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
41 | 62 |
1º
|
59.5% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 58 |
2º
|
41% | |
|
1º
|
43 | 57 |
3º
|
37% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 52 |
4º
|
40.5% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 44 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 43 |
6º
|
13.5% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 43 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 42 |
8º
|
18% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 42 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
28 | 40 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 38 |
11º
|
25.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 34 |
12º
|
42.5% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 29 |
13º
|
28.5% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 27 |
14º
|
33% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 25 |
15º
|
48% | |
|
|
15º
|
9 | 18 |
16º
|
86% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
1% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
4% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation
|
95% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dnepr Mogilev
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
DNP
0 - 1
ISL
23%
22%
55%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
VIT
2 - 0
DNP
51%
24%
25%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
FKK
0 - 1
DNP
42%
22%
36%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
DNP
2 - 3
SHA
25%
26%
50%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
ISL
1 - 1
DNP
59%
24%
18%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Slavia Mozyr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
SLA
0 - 2
MKK
47%
23%
30%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
FBG
0 - 6
SLA
19%
21%
60%
|
72 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
TOR
3 - 0
SLA
45%
27%
28%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
SLA
0 - 0
GOM
40%
27%
33%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
NAF
0 - 1
SLA
26%
26%
48%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | +1 |