Dnepr Mogilev vs FK Orsha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
27.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
73
1º
5º
2º
31
9º
15º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
73 | 73 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
73 | 73 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
62 | 62 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
61 | 61 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 41 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
38 | 38 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 22 |
16º
|
0% | |
|
17º
|
5 | 5 |
17º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dnepr Mogilev
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
BEL
2 - 2
DNP
57%
21%
22%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
DNP
5 - 0
OFC
24%
19%
57%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
MIN
1 - 3
DNP
69%
19%
13%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
BAT
1 - 3
DNP
83%
13%
5%
|
50 | 75 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
DNP
3 - 1
BAT
52%
22%
27%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
FK Orsha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
ORS
4 - 0
FCS
60%
21%
19%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
VOL
2 - 3
ORS
70%
18%
13%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
ORS
1 - 2
MOL
32%
23%
45%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
OFC
2 - 0
ORS
73%
15%
12%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
ORS
1 - 0
MKK
32%
25%
43%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |