Dnepr Mogilev vs Naftan Novopolotsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
18.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dnepr Mogilev
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2013 |
DNP
0 - 0
DIN
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
MIN
1 - 0
DNP
52%
25%
23%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
DNP
2 - 1
BAT
34%
28%
38%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
NEM
1 - 1
DNP
48%
26%
25%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
DNP
0 - 1
BEL
53%
25%
23%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Naftan Novopolotsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2013 |
NAF
1 - 1
MIN
23%
26%
51%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
BAT
3 - 0
NAF
72%
18%
10%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
NAF
0 - 0
NEM
30%
27%
43%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
BEL
1 - 0
NAF
51%
26%
23%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2013 |
NAF
0 - 0
SLA
57%
24%
19%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |