Dnepr Mogilev vs Maxline Vitebsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
26.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
73
1º
5º
2º
61
1º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
73 | 73 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
73 | 73 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
62 | 62 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
61 | 61 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 41 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
38 | 38 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 22 |
16º
|
0% | |
|
17º
|
5 | 5 |
17º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dnepr Mogilev
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
FCS
0 - 5
DNP
10%
18%
72%
|
64 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
DNP
1 - 0
BAR
79%
15%
7%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
GOM
0 - 3
DNP
48%
25%
28%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
DNP
2 - 0
FKA
35%
27%
38%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
LID
0 - 3
DNP
22%
23%
54%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Maxline Vitebsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
MKK
6 - 3
FCN
56%
22%
22%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
ZHY
4 - 1
MKK
24%
22%
54%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | -2 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
MKK
0 - 4
VIT
36%
25%
38%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
VOL
2 - 4
MKK
29%
24%
47%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
MKK
2 - 0
FBG
73%
16%
11%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |