Dnepr Mogilev vs Gomel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
44.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
8º
15º
15º
18
6º
11º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
32 | 60 |
1º
|
62.5% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 57 |
2º
|
35.5% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 55 |
3º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 46 |
4º
|
15.5% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 45 |
5º
|
12.5% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 45 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 45 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
18 | 43 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 42 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 42 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 38 |
11º
|
16.5% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 31 |
12º
|
19% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 31 |
13º
|
22.5% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 29 |
14º
|
28.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
8 | 24 |
15º
|
39.5% | |
|
15º
|
5 | 18 |
16º
|
69% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 4% |
|
Mid-table
|
27.5% | 96% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
16% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
56.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dnepr Mogilev
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
NAF
2 - 1
DNP
29%
26%
46%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
DNP
1 - 1
MIN
48%
26%
25%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
FCS
0 - 0
DNP
25%
25%
49%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
DNP
0 - 2
DNM
25%
26%
49%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
BAT
1 - 1
DNP
64%
21%
15%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Gomel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
GOM
0 - 0
TOR
43%
27%
30%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
DIN
1 - 1
GOM
40%
26%
35%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
NAF
0 - 2
GOM
22%
25%
53%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
GOM
2 - 0
MIN
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
FCS
2 - 2
GOM
19%
24%
57%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |