Dnepr Mogilev vs FK Smorgon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
18.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dnepr Mogilev
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2008 |
GRA
2 - 3
DNP
44%
26%
30%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2008 |
DNP
2 - 1
NEM
50%
26%
24%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2008 |
GOM
4 - 3
DNP
58%
23%
19%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2008 |
TOR
0 - 0
DNP
57%
24%
19%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2008 |
DNP
2 - 1
DAR
58%
24%
18%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
FK Smorgon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2008 |
FCS
0 - 0
TOR
33%
30%
37%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2008 |
DAR
0 - 1
FCS
47%
27%
26%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2008 |
FCS
0 - 3
VIT
35%
27%
38%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2008 |
DNM
2 - 1
FCS
68%
20%
12%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2008 |
FCS
2 - 3
DIN
42%
28%
31%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |