Dnepr Smolensk vs Znamya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
+4
6.9%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
9.7%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dnepr Smolensk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2013 |
DNE
2 - 1
PSP
67%
20%
13%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2013 |
LOK
2 - 2
DNE
56%
24%
20%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
SEV
2 - 1
DNE
41%
26%
33%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2013 |
KAR
1 - 3
DNE
30%
26%
44%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2013 |
DNE
0 - 2
VOL
53%
25%
22%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Znamya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2013 |
LOK
3 - 0
ZNA
76%
16%
8%
|
26 | 47 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2013 |
ZNA
0 - 1
KAR
53%
23%
24%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2013 |
ZNA
0 - 0
SEV
16%
21%
62%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
FCD
1 - 0
ZNA
76%
16%
9%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2013 |
VOL
1 - 0
ZNA
70%
19%
11%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | 0 |