Dnepr Smolensk vs Znamya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.5%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.3%
6.2%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dnepr Smolensk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2012 |
DNE
6 - 0
SAT
71%
18%
11%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2012 |
DNE
4 - 1
LOK
39%
26%
35%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +2 |
| 15 May. 2012 |
PSK
1 - 1
DNE
34%
27%
39%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
DIN
2 - 0
DNE
61%
22%
17%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
DNE
1 - 0
SPA
42%
27%
32%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Znamya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2012 |
LOK
6 - 0
ZNA
78%
15%
7%
|
18 | 47 | 29 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2012 |
ZNA
0 - 2
DIN
13%
23%
64%
|
18 | 53 | 35 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2012 |
ZNA
0 - 2
PSK
15%
23%
63%
|
19 | 39 | 20 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2012 |
SHC
2 - 1
ZNA
81%
14%
6%
|
20 | 44 | 24 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
SPA
4 - 2
ZNA
68%
21%
11%
|
20 | 47 | 27 | 0 |