Dnepr Smolensk vs Strogino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
20.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dnepr Smolensk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2013 |
DNE
3 - 2
FCD
39%
26%
35%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2013 |
LOK
2 - 1
DNE
55%
23%
22%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
SEV
4 - 1
DNE
32%
26%
42%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | -2 |
| 15 Aug. 2013 |
FCR
2 - 2
DNE
29%
26%
46%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2013 |
DNE
1 - 0
ZNA
71%
19%
11%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Strogino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2013 |
LOK
2 - 2
STR
66%
20%
14%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2013 |
STR
2 - 1
FCR
53%
23%
24%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
STR
3 - 0
SEV
36%
24%
40%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +3 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
KOL
1 - 0
STR
21%
23%
56%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | -2 |
| 15 Aug. 2013 |
ZNA
0 - 1
STR
33%
24%
43%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | +1 |