Dnepr Smolensk vs Kolomna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.4%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.7%
7.9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dnepr Smolensk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
FCV
1 - 1
DNE
20%
25%
55%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2013 |
SPA
2 - 4
DNE
30%
29%
41%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2013 |
DNE
2 - 0
KHI
20%
25%
55%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | +2 |
| 15 Jul. 2013 |
DNE
1 - 2
VOL
41%
28%
32%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2013 |
DNE
2 - 1
ZNA
72%
18%
10%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Kolomna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
KOL
3 - 0
SEV
12%
18%
70%
|
15 | 38 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2013 |
KOL
0 - 0
FCR
14%
20%
66%
|
14 | 35 | 21 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2013 |
ZNA
0 - 0
KOL
76%
15%
9%
|
14 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
SAL
2 - 0
KOL
78%
15%
7%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | -9 |
| 23 Oct. 2002 |
AVA
2 - 1
KOL
44%
28%
28%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | -1 |