Dnepr Smolensk vs Karelia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
28.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dnepr Smolensk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2015 |
PSK
0 - 1
DNE
70%
18%
11%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2015 |
DNE
0 - 0
STR
26%
24%
50%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2015 |
KOL
2 - 1
DNE
26%
22%
53%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
DNE
0 - 2
SPA
38%
27%
35%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -2 |
| 01 Sep. 2015 |
TOR
2 - 1
DNE
71%
19%
11%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Karelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2015 |
KAR
2 - 0
KOL
74%
15%
11%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
SPA
3 - 0
KAR
51%
25%
24%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2015 |
KAR
3 - 0
TOR
16%
21%
63%
|
25 | 46 | 21 | +7 |
| 15 Sep. 2015 |
DIN
2 - 0
KAR
80%
13%
7%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
KAR
0 - 2
KHI
14%
20%
66%
|
26 | 54 | 28 | -1 |