Dnepr Smolensk vs Zelenograd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
26.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dnepr Smolensk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2010 |
IST
3 - 0
DNE
53%
25%
22%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
NAR
1 - 2
DNE
43%
27%
31%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2010 |
DNE
2 - 1
LOK
24%
26%
51%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | +3 |
| 08 Sep. 2010 |
DNE
1 - 1
TEK
53%
25%
22%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
DNE
1 - 0
SPA
23%
27%
49%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | +2 |
Matches
Zelenograd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2010 |
FKZ
2 - 2
TEK
58%
23%
19%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
FKZ
4 - 0
SPA
28%
28%
44%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | +4 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
DVO
1 - 0
FKZ
66%
21%
13%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2010 |
SHC
2 - 0
FKZ
63%
21%
16%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
SAC
1 - 3
FKZ
47%
24%
29%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +1 |