Dnepr Smolensk vs Istra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
29.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dnepr Smolensk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2011 |
DNE
0 - 1
TKA
69%
19%
12%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2011 |
KAR
0 - 3
DNE
28%
26%
47%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
SEV
0 - 3
DNE
48%
25%
27%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +2 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
DNE
1 - 1
DVO
34%
25%
41%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2011 |
DNE
3 - 0
DIK
52%
24%
23%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +3 |
Matches
Istra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2011 |
LOK
0 - 0
IST
65%
20%
15%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2011 |
IST
1 - 2
DIN
23%
26%
51%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
IST
0 - 0
PSK
48%
26%
27%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
SPA
0 - 1
IST
36%
27%
37%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2011 |
IST
1 - 1
SHC
43%
27%
31%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +2 |