Djurgårdens IF vs IFK Varnamo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
28.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
2º
7º
3º
20
9º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 62 |
1º
|
91.5% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 53 |
2º
|
33.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
38 | 52 |
3º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 49 |
4º
|
15.5% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 48 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 47 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 47 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 45 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 44 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 38 |
10º
|
25.5% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 38 |
11º
|
27% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 32 |
12º
|
19% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 32 |
13º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
20 | 31 |
14º
|
18% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 29 |
15º
|
23% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 29 |
16º
|
19.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
1% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
51.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
47.5% | 41% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 18% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 41% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Djurgårdens IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2024 |
NOR
1 - 3
DJU
46%
25%
29%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
SIR
2 - 2
DJU
50%
24%
27%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
DJU
0 - 3
HIF
44%
26%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
MJÄ
1 - 3
DJU
43%
27%
31%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
DJU
2 - 0
HAL
52%
24%
24%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
IFK Varnamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
IFK
2 - 0
GÖT
36%
26%
38%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
HIF
2 - 2
IFK
57%
21%
22%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
IFK
1 - 2
MJÄ
38%
28%
35%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2024 |
NOR
0 - 4
IFK
50%
24%
26%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
IFK
0 - 2
KAL
33%
27%
40%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |