Champions League Last 16
Global 4-1
Djurgårdens IF vs Gwardia Warszawa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.9%
Win probability
3.02
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.7%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
13.8%
11.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Djurgårdens IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1955 |
DEG
1 - 3
DJU
43%
24%
32%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1955 |
DJU
0 - 4
MFF
55%
20%
25%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 1955 |
GÖT
5 - 2
DJU
47%
23%
31%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1955 |
DJU
5 - 0
HEL
62%
19%
19%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1955 |
AIK
3 - 1
DJU
56%
21%
23%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |