Qualif. Champions Segunda ronda Final
Global 2-0
Djurgårdens IF vs FBK Kaunas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
17.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Djurgårdens IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2004 |
DJU
5 - 1
ORE
69%
18%
12%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2004 |
HIF
3 - 0
DJU
39%
25%
36%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2004 |
DJU
0 - 2
MFF
52%
23%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2004 |
HAL
2 - 2
DJU
41%
25%
35%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2004 |
DJU
3 - 2
GIF
78%
15%
8%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
FBK Kaunas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2004 |
FBK
4 - 1
SLI
57%
22%
21%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2004 |
SLI
0 - 2
FBK
40%
23%
37%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2004 |
ZAL
0 - 0
FBK
28%
25%
47%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2004 |
FBK
1 - 0
ATL
63%
21%
16%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2004 |
FBK
2 - 1
FKE
56%
24%
20%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |