DJK Gebenbach vs Würzburger FV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.5%
Win probability
3.18
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.9%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.7%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.1%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.5%
5.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
10º
17º
11º
31
3º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
46 | 72 |
1º
|
42.5% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 69 |
2º
|
31% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 69 |
3º
|
37% | |
|
1º
|
48 | 65 |
4º
|
50.5% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 53 |
5º
|
35% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 50 |
6º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 49 |
7º
|
16.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 48 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 47 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 44 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
|
13º
|
26 | 44 |
11º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 43 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
|
10º
|
31 | 42 |
13º
|
21% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 40 |
14º
|
21% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 33 |
15º
|
25.5% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 33 |
16º
|
41% | |
|
17º
|
16 | 25 |
17º
|
70% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 15 |
18º
|
92% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
88.5% | 76% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
11.5% | 24% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
DJK Gebenbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
TSK
1 - 1
DJK
15%
18%
67%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
NEU
1 - 4
DJK
42%
24%
34%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
DJK
4 - 5
TSV
46%
24%
30%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
FCC
0 - 0
DJK
14%
17%
69%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
BAY
1 - 8
DJK
49%
24%
27%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +4 |
Matches
Würzburger FV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
WUR
1 - 1
KOR
19%
20%
62%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
WUR
4 - 3
ASR
54%
23%
23%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
WUR
0 - 4
BAY
22%
21%
58%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | -2 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
REG
1 - 0
WUR
72%
15%
13%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
WUR
6 - 1
FEU
82%
12%
6%
|
28 | 15 | 13 | 0 |