DJK Gebenbach vs Würzburger FV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.3%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
6%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.8%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.5%
10.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
1º
13º
10º
27
1º
17º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
55 | 58 |
5º
|
90.5% | |
|
5º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
90.5% | |
|
6º
|
55 | 55 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
54 | 54 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
54 | 54 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
52 | 52 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
52 | 52 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
52 | 52 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
52 | 52 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
49 | 49 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
48 | 48 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
41 | 41 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
|
17º
|
27 | 27 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
22 | 22 |
18º
|
100% | |
|
19º
|
16 | 16 |
19º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
DJK Gebenbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
HAH
2 - 0
DJK
37%
23%
41%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
DJK
3 - 1
ATS
79%
13%
8%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
DJK
0 - 2
JRE
54%
20%
26%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
EIC
1 - 0
DJK
47%
22%
31%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
DJK
3 - 2
ING
48%
21%
31%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Würzburger FV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
WUR
0 - 2
EIC
19%
19%
62%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
WUR
1 - 1
KOR
49%
22%
29%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
ING
3 - 2
WUR
69%
18%
14%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
ASV
3 - 1
WUR
66%
19%
15%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
WUR
2 - 0
SVD
33%
22%
45%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | +2 |