DJK Gebenbach vs VfB Eichstätt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.2%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
54.1%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
10º
17º
15º
25
1º
16º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
25 | 72 |
1º
|
41.5% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 68 |
2º
|
23% | |
|
1º
|
28 | 66 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 55 |
4º
|
12% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 54 |
5º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 53 |
6º
|
9.5% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 53 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 52 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 49 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 48 |
10º
|
7.5% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 44 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 44 |
12º
|
8.5% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 44 |
13º
|
8% | |
|
15º
|
9 | 41 |
14º
|
14% | |
|
|
17º
|
5 | 36 |
15º
|
17.5% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 36 |
16º
|
18.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 28 |
17º
|
41.5% | |
|
18º
|
3 | 12 |
18º
|
89% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 41.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 26.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
38.5% | 32% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
60% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
1.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
DJK Gebenbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
WEI
1 - 1
DJK
58%
21%
22%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
DJK
1 - 2
TSV
34%
24%
42%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
ASV
3 - 2
DJK
43%
22%
35%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
DJK
1 - 1
BAY
46%
23%
32%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
NEU
1 - 1
DJK
38%
22%
40%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
VfB Eichstätt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
EIC
3 - 2
KOR
63%
20%
17%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
NEU
1 - 0
EIC
21%
22%
58%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
EIC
2 - 0
AMM
55%
22%
24%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
FCE
1 - 3
EIC
19%
21%
61%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
EIC
2 - 1
ELT
46%
24%
30%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |