Union Frintrop vs Meerbusch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.1%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
8.4%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
71.2%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.7%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.5%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.1%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+48%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
7º
17º
17º
34
5º
18º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
57.5% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 63 |
3º
|
57.5% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
4º
|
57.5% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 55 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
48.5% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 53 |
7º
|
4.5% | |
|
7º
|
52 | 53 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 45 |
9º
|
71.5% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 43 |
10º
|
38% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 42 |
11º
|
36% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 42 |
12º
|
55.5% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 38 |
13º
|
27% | |
|
13º
|
37 | 38 |
14º
|
21% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 36 |
15º
|
35% | |
|
|
16º
|
34 | 35 |
16º
|
52.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
33 | 34 |
17º
|
81.5% | |
|
18º
|
29 | 29 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
4% | 38.5% |
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
96% | 61.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Frintrop
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
SON
2 - 0
DJK
80%
13%
7%
|
17 | 38 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
DJK
0 - 2
HIL
10%
14%
76%
|
17 | 45 | 28 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
HIL
0 - 0
DJK
84%
11%
6%
|
17 | 45 | 28 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
STR
3 - 0
DJK
77%
14%
9%
|
17 | 38 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
DJK
1 - 1
KLE
14%
17%
69%
|
16 | 31 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Meerbusch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
MEE
2 - 0
SFB
17%
20%
63%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
MSV
2 - 2
MEE
20%
21%
59%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
NET
1 - 0
MEE
49%
22%
30%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
HIL
3 - 1
MEE
68%
19%
13%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
MEE
1 - 3
STR
40%
21%
39%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |