Diter Zafra vs Mérida UD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.7%
30.4%
Draw
0-0
13.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.4%
41.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Diter Zafra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
CDB
1 - 0
CDZ
65%
21%
14%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
CDZ
0 - 2
TAL
36%
30%
35%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -2 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
ALG
1 - 3
CDZ
53%
26%
21%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +2 |
| 09 Oct. 2005 |
CDZ
1 - 1
BAZ
35%
29%
37%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
RJA
2 - 1
CDZ
52%
27%
22%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Mérida UD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
MER
3 - 1
UBC
42%
29%
29%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
ALC
0 - 1
MER
36%
30%
34%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
MER
1 - 1
CDL
39%
30%
31%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2005 |
CCF
0 - 1
MER
73%
18%
9%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
MER
0 - 2
SEV
32%
30%
37%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |