Diter Zafra vs CD Alcalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.9%
29.6%
Draw
0-0
11.9%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.6%
38.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Diter Zafra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
CDL
1 - 0
CDZ
59%
26%
16%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
CDZ
0 - 5
CCF
22%
29%
49%
|
40 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
SEV
2 - 0
CDZ
62%
23%
15%
|
40 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2005 |
CDZ
0 - 3
MAR
28%
29%
43%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | -3 |
| 13 Nov. 2005 |
CAR
3 - 0
CDZ
61%
24%
16%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
ALC
1 - 2
UBC
40%
28%
32%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
AGD
0 - 0
ALC
48%
29%
24%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
CDL
0 - 0
ALC
50%
29%
22%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
ALC
2 - 2
CCF
22%
29%
49%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2005 |
SEV
0 - 0
ALC
58%
25%
18%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |