Apertura Nicaragua Semi-finals
Global 4-1
Diriangén vs Managua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
24.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Diriangén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
MAN
1 - 2
DIR
51%
24%
25%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2021 |
DIR
5 - 0
JAP
75%
17%
8%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2021 |
CDS
1 - 1
DIR
23%
28%
49%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2021 |
DIR
4 - 0
REA
65%
21%
14%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
EST
3 - 0
DIR
48%
26%
26%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Managua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
MAN
1 - 2
DIR
51%
24%
25%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2021 |
MAN
1 - 0
JUV
77%
15%
8%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2021 |
MAN
3 - 1
WAL
47%
24%
29%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2021 |
REA
1 - 3
MAN
23%
26%
51%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2021 |
DEP
1 - 0
MAN
20%
25%
55%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | -1 |