Diriangén vs Walter Ferretti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
11.2%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
1º
4º
4º
13
5º
9º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
14 | 17 |
1º
|
41% | |
|
1º
|
16 | 16 |
2º
|
32% | |
|
3º
|
14 | 15 |
3º
|
24% | |
|
|
4º
|
13 | 14 |
4º
|
57% | |
|
|
5º
|
13 | 13 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
8 | 8 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 7 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 7 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
43% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
57% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Diriangén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
DIR
4 - 0
UNA
72%
17%
11%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
DIR
6 - 0
MFC
63%
21%
16%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2024 |
DIR
3 - 2
MFC
74%
16%
10%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | -3 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
DIR
3 - 2
EST
56%
22%
23%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
EST
1 - 1
DIR
43%
24%
33%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Walter Ferretti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
WAL
3 - 1
UNA
54%
23%
23%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
WAL
1 - 2
EST
30%
26%
44%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
CDS
1 - 0
WAL
41%
26%
33%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
DIR
3 - 0
WAL
68%
19%
13%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2024 |
WAL
1 - 2
DIR
31%
24%
45%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | -1 |