Dire Dawa Kenema vs Ethiopia Bunna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
31.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
5º
15º
10º
43
4º
13º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 18 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dire Dawa Kenema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2022 |
AWK
2 - 2
DIR
58%
23%
19%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
BAH
1 - 1
DIR
52%
26%
22%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
DIR
1 - 3
HAD
40%
27%
33%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2022 |
LEG
1 - 1
DIR
54%
25%
21%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
DIR
2 - 2
SIB
40%
28%
32%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ethiopia Bunna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2022 |
ETB
2 - 0
AMK
50%
27%
24%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2022 |
ETB
1 - 0
SIB
51%
25%
24%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
WOL
0 - 1
ETB
42%
27%
31%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2022 |
ETB
1 - 2
AWK
46%
26%
28%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
WED
0 - 0
ETB
35%
30%
36%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |