Dire Dawa Kenema vs Arba Minch Kenema analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
24.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
5º
15º
10º
34
11º
15º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 18 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dire Dawa Kenema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
ADK
2 - 0
DIR
38%
29%
33%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2022 |
DIR
0 - 1
WED
45%
27%
28%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2022 |
KET
1 - 2
DIR
47%
26%
26%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2022 |
DIR
2 - 2
WOL
42%
26%
32%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2022 |
ETH
1 - 3
DIR
53%
24%
23%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Arba Minch Kenema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2022 |
AMK
0 - 2
BAH
41%
29%
31%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2022 |
AMK
3 - 3
SIB
38%
29%
33%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2022 |
LEG
1 - 1
AMK
41%
27%
32%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2022 |
MEH
2 - 2
AMK
52%
26%
22%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2022 |
AMK
1 - 0
ADK
46%
29%
25%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |