CAF Champions Last 16
Global 1-8
DFC8 vs Al-Hilal Omdurman analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
62.3%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
DFC8
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
LES
2 - 1
DFC
86%
11%
4%
|
12 | 65 | 53 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
DFC
1 - 0
LES
17%
24%
59%
|
11 | 64 | 53 | +1 |
Matches
Al-Hilal Omdurman
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2012 |
ALH
4 - 0
JAZ
64%
20%
17%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ALH
2 - 1
ALA
64%
19%
17%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2012 |
ALN
0 - 1
ALH
48%
25%
27%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
ALA
0 - 0
ALH
54%
23%
23%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2011 |
ALH
2 - 2
ALM
62%
20%
18%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |