Cup Winners Cup Last 16
Global 3-3
Diósgyőr VTK vs HNK Hajduk Split analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
45.7%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Diósgyőr VTK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1977 |
DIO
5 - 0
BJK
54%
22%
24%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1977 |
BJK
2 - 0
DIO
53%
22%
25%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
HNK Hajduk Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1977 |
HKS
4 - 0
DUN
81%
12%
7%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1977 |
DUN
1 - 0
HKS
24%
22%
54%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 1976 |
HKS
1 - 2
ATM
48%
24%
28%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1976 |
ATM
1 - 0
HKS
75%
15%
10%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1976 |
HKS
3 - 0
LIE
72%
15%
13%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |