Diósgyőr VTK vs Ferencvárosi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
41.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
2º
8º
7º
74
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 100% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Diósgyőr VTK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
UJP
7 - 0
DIO
42%
25%
33%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
DIO
0 - 0
KTE
47%
25%
28%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
DIO
5 - 3
DVS
34%
26%
40%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
MTK
1 - 1
DIO
46%
24%
29%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
FTC
2 - 1
DIO
57%
23%
20%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ferencvárosi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
FTC
5 - 1
DVS
45%
26%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
MTK
1 - 2
FTC
33%
25%
42%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
NYI
1 - 2
FTC
22%
23%
56%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
FTC
0 - 0
VAR
58%
23%
19%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
ZTE
2 - 3
FTC
33%
25%
41%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |