Inter-Cities Fairs Cup Last 16
Global 5-4
Dinamo Zagreb vs Union Saint-Gilloise analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.9%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.9%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.6%
11.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dinamo Zagreb
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1962 |
DZG
0 - 0
FCP
42%
23%
35%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1962 |
FCP
1 - 2
DZG
77%
14%
10%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 1961 |
DZG
2 - 2
FCB
38%
23%
39%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1961 |
FCB
5 - 1
DZG
87%
8%
5%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1961 |
DZG
2 - 2
KOB
82%
11%
8%
|
79 | 12 | 67 | 0 |
Matches
Union Saint-Gilloise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1962 |
DIE
3 - 2
UNI
51%
23%
26%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1962 |
UNI
1 - 1
AND
25%
24%
51%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1962 |
UNI
4 - 2
MAR
60%
19%
21%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 1962 |
STR
1 - 2
UNI
62%
20%
18%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1962 |
UNI
1 - 0
BEE
49%
24%
28%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |