Dinamo Zagreb vs Sturm Graz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
14.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dinamo Zagreb
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1999 |
ZAG
0 - 1
DZG
32%
26%
41%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1999 |
DZG
1 - 2
MAR
48%
25%
27%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1999 |
DZG
5 - 0
VUK
90%
8%
2%
|
84 | 59 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1999 |
MUD
0 - 0
DZG
72%
18%
10%
|
84 | 92 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1999 |
IST
0 - 4
DZG
17%
25%
58%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1999 |
STR
4 - 0
SWB
76%
16%
9%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1999 |
STR
0 - 3
MUD
20%
24%
57%
|
80 | 91 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1999 |
TIR
1 - 0
STR
49%
25%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1999 |
MAR
2 - 0
STR
65%
21%
14%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1999 |
STR
0 - 0
LAS
62%
21%
18%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |